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Monday, April 11, 2011
The petty neighbourhood shopkeeper is your new banker, savior
Monday, February 28, 2011
Boosting the Business Case for Agents

Thursday, January 27, 2011
A Humble question to Muhammed Yunus

The business model of for profit MFI-NBFCs – some of whom claim to follow the Grameen Model – is increasingly being questioned as an effective tool for poverty alleviation.
In a previous post [ Link ] I had presented a case for two strategies:
1. The SHG strategy (together with the SHG Bank Linkage program) which, from my experience over the past 27 years is appropriate to include poor families into the growth trajectory and also to increase their incomes in a sustained manner over a period of 6-8 years. Though the role of SHGs in the provision of credit has been highlighted, credit is only one factor; others are building self confidence and skills to negotiate and decide, joint action for lobbying to neutralize power relations which are oppressive and prevent entry into the growth trajectory (not only to credit institutions).These strengths are all incorporated in the word “empowerment” which well functioning SHGs generate. The dynamics of interaction among members generates the confidence and skills to take decisions and forge networks and federations of SHGs – these together provide the “power” to overcome hurdles and equip the poor to find entry into growth. The poor are in the status of “Pre-Clients” and need to equip themselves with the skills and resources required to be able to demand and access resources and entitlements which is the strength of “clients” who are the not poor.
However the SHG strategy (like any other strategy) cannot achieve its objective in isolation. It needs adequate investment in the area of operation from the Govt., private sector or NGOs which provides options for investment and/or reduces risk; it requires various support services to support value creation; it also needs up front investment in institutional capacity building (ICB) which includes training in at least 12 modules including how to analyse society, to foster participation, to arrive at consensus, to resolve conflict, what are the essential features of an SHG, the importance of sanctions etc – all this training in ICB takes time and money. Unfortunately this investment in ICB has been neglected in the rush to include the poor only in the financial system through no frills accounts etc. This is based on the mistaken assumption that the only reason to form SHGs is to access credit. Andhra Pradesh is a classic example of the rush to form SHGs and extend credit without adequate ICB and support services. Most of them were weak institutions. This was perhaps the major reason why the MFI-NBFC strategy to form JLGs - many of which were formed by poaching the SHGs - succeeded so well in the state.
2. The for profit MFI-NBFC model, I dared to suggest, is more appropriate for the not poor who have difficulty to access credit from formal institutions because of several reasons including distance to banks, long delays and paperwork required, no proper land records, previous defaults etc. They have the skills and resources - like good land 2-6 acres often irrigated or in good rainfall areas and/or potential to invest in non farm activities; but have to rely on money lenders who hold a monopoly situation. Apart from lack of access to formal credit, their major problems are poor infrastructure, corruption etc.
This paper attempts to take a step further - to raise a doubt that the MFI-NBFC strategy as practised by the major MFI-NBFCs in India is appropriate to create value even for the not poor. Since many of them claim to follow the Grameen Bank Model - more correctly the Grameen II model which was launched around 1999-2000 and which opened the door for the neo liberal features of Grameen Phase II - the question I raise is relevant. All evidence emerging from AP indicates that under the pressure from the neo liberal market forces and venture capital to commercialise micro finance - which means to grow fast, to earn high profits and offer high salaries, with an eye on valuations and IPOs , all the while stressing that self help and privatization is the best strategy to eradicate poverty - the business model of Grameen II very quickly begins to move from focusing on the objective of achieving financial sustainability of the MFI-NBFC to one where profit is maximized. And if office bearers in our national institutions support this model on the grounds that it is the fastest to include the poor in financial services and if the governance of these MFIs sees nothing amiss, then the business model becomes entirely driven by the profit motive; without any effective regulatory framework the course is clear. Both the private sector and the MFIs sniffed profit at the bottom of the pyramid; both looked at the poor as opportunities rather than responsibilities ; both ended up by catering to consumption aspirations and making profits higher than the most valued private banks.
Muhammed Yunus has done a fantastic job, but the Grameen bank he founded in 1983 is not the one that emerged after the Grameen II Project which was launched around 1999-2000. Though the ownership of the capital structure did not change, the delivery model did. Under the Grameen II framework, Phase II commercialized the business model: the poor have to pull themselves up by their bootstraps and by implication Government should keep its distance . Music to the ears of neo liberals and columnists who are given prominence in the Indian newspapers. Savings became compulsory – and compulsion whether of savings or in repayments adds a new dimension of power to the MFI. Commercial relations were established with MNCs like Telenor and Danone which surely rubbed off on Grameen since their representatives surely had a greater impact on governance than the client share holders. Yunus himself began to distance himself from day to day involvement in GB which came under others who did not share his convictions. Today GB is no longer eradicating poverty but bringing financial services to people many of whom are not poor. The original social mission of Muhammed Yunus has been consigned to the museum, not poverty. My question to Muhammed Yunus is this:
“ Why did you not react strongly to Grameen II –or Grameen Phase II when it had begun to develop all the markings of a neo liberal product... and when it was aggressively promoted as a model to be replicated all over the world?”
Perhaps Yunus did not react because he thought that good governance and commitment to the poor which characterized the first 15 years of GB would balance or neutralise these neo liberal structural features. But my experience is that once you plant an ‘Aam’ (mango) you will not get an Anaar (pomegranate) no matter how much you want one. You may say all the prayers and apply all types of fertilizer but you will still get a mango. So what do the supporters of Grameen II do? They paint the mango like an anaar. This can throw dust in peoples eyes for some time with aggressive PR - and GB has it - besides there are too many reputations in international financial institutions at stake; but the rains do come and the paint washes off and you are back to the mango!
It is easy to say as some international organizations promoting micro finance do: “Let us learn from the mistakes and move on”. Unfortunately they have not learned from their mistakes as is clear from their reaction to Mexico’s Compartamos experience as recently as 2007. Apart from continuing to aggressively promote the business model which maximizes profits, there are increasing signs that funds will start to pour in to AP from abroad to rescue the MFI-NBFCs without any structural change in the model being required. There is no evidence that international organizations are learning from the mistakes; no structural changes in the model are being envisaged; a few superficial changes will suffice ; the aam will again be painted like an anaar This is perhaps a bigger threat than the crisis that emerged a few months ago. The structural changes required are mentioned below.
The experience in AP adds weight to my position. In 2004-05 when the Krishna District crisis emerged, the MFI- NBFCs all agreed to change some features of their business model. A code of conduct was drawn up and agreed to. Did they observe it? No. ACCION and CGAP were involved in coming up with similar codes earlier as a fall out of their experience with Banco Sol and Compartemos. But their subsequent actions did not show that the code had any impact on the structure of the MFIs. In AP, as soon as funds started flowing again after the Krishna crisis, initially leveraged by private capital, the code of conduct was consigned to the museum. My contention is that the very structure (or business model) of the MFI NBFCs lends itself to the features which precipitated the Krishna crisis as well as the crisis in 2010 and will continue to lead to further crises in future if structural features are not addressed.
The major structural features of the NBFC- MFI model which lead to these crisis because it is inappropriate even for the not poor are:
1. The inability of the Grameen II model to cope with diversity because of standardisation – same size loans to all and same intervals ; if small differences are made in the second round it is mainly due to confidence levels in the client not on the potential for income from the activity proposed; the same repayment period for loans whether for agriculture, business or off farm activities . This in turn is conditioned by the software (ICT) which is often been promoted as a solution to most of the woes faced by the sector. So far ICT has helped to cut costs of the MFI; on the other hand it has imposed a standardised system on the clients (yet we celebrate diversity in other sectors). Together with standardisation, comes speed –including topping up with similar amounts which will be discussed later. In a second part of this post I will give some profiles of the livelihood strategy of SHG members who started out as poor but came out of poverty after 6-8 years; these livelihood strategies indicate that the requirements in all cases are diverse and that it takes at least 6-8 years with around 15 loans for various purposes and of various sizes amounting to Rs 2-4 lacs before people are firmly into the growth trajectory.The software of MFIs has to be made compatible with the diversity reflected in the livelihood strategies of the poor.
2. MFIs do not have the space or time to provide support to ensure that even the non poor have the services and information required to make investments productive. MFIs need to provide this support themselves from their profits or partner with others who can - like NGOs, Private sector or government institutions. The high rates of failure in income generating activities is due to this lack of timely, appropriate and adequate support. The present approach of MFIs however is entirely driven by competition - not by partnership and by speed to provide the next loan. I am not referring here to the practice of some MFIs to start health programs to present a soft and caring image to clients. This does not change the model. Rather the model must include partners who can add value to the investment.
3. The potential for rapid growth and high profits of the business model reduces the interest from financial institutions in investing in second level institutions which takes time, has higher risks and is not as profitable. Yet second level institutions to aggregate and add value to various farm products and to develop linkages with industry for design and marketing of farm and off farm products are a crucial step to sustain growth. This gap is increasing daily and must be addressed if growth in the rural sector is to take off. Financial institutions need to give this priority.
4. The MFI practice of weekly/monthly repayments at the doorstep (or nearby) does not jell with the cash flow of income activities which is lumpy. This in turn forces them to take up daily wage labour or petty business or borrow from one MFI to pay another—most resort to the last option. This structural feature results in multiple borrowing. The doorstep offer which is touted as a major plus is a double ended sword especially when there is pressure from the MFI to grow rapidly backed up by incentives to staff. As a result multiple lending has been a feature in every country where the Grameen II model (or prior to it the commercialised model) has been introduced be it Mexico, Boliva or Bangladesh and now India. In the SHGs, (the real ones), there is no such pressure from incentives and further at least a third of the common fund is owned by the group in the form of savings and interest, hence they assess each loan request carefully and make sure that here is no multiple borrowing which will affect their group interests.
5. The pressure exerted by MFI staff on clients to repay; one study has identified 9 ways in which MFI staff exercised pressure which need not be described here . This is not socially acceptable and will continue to cause negative reactions from society. There are only four sources which exert pressure to repay: a) physical collateral; b) affinity among members which exists prior to MFI entry and which needs to be discovered by the MFI - on the basis of which SHGs are formed; the members self select themselves. This affinity is a strength and is further developed by institutional capacity building and management of a group common fund consisting of their own savings, interest earned on loans, fines, donations; the pressure to repay comes from the group. When social pressure does not work the group decides to go further ;there are several examples of the SHG group lodging police complaints against defaulters, seizing assets like agri or horticultural commodities or bullocks ; but because it was the group that acted there was no reaction from society; this shows that pressure may be required at times but the source of the pressure must be from the peoples institutions and d) the expectations of another loan within a short time even though there is no potential for investment.
6. MFI-NBFCS hide under the myth that JLGs which are formed by MFIs who select the members provide joint liability and build social solidarity. The question is - if the JLGs worked effectively (as the MFIs claim) why did the staff have to exert pressure. Further in many cases the clients who are members of JLGs are forced to pay up when others default; it does not come willingly; and in such cases the JLG breaks up.
7. Very high interest rates (often well hidden) on the grounds that transaction costs in micro lending are high. The experience of a Not For profit MFI called Sangamithra over the past 10 years does not validate this. I do not have the expertise or resources to conduct further studies on the reasons behind high interest rates. But I was referred to one study made by a D. Richardson who studied the high interest rates in Compartemos. He found that the high interest, bonuses etc, were required mainly to ensure that high salaries and other allowances were paid to senior management and share holders (“Compartemos IPO issues”). There needs to be a regulatory cap on interest rates.
By:-By Aloysius P. Fernandez,
*The author is Chairperson, Nabard Financial Services and Member Secretary Myrada; the views expressed here are personal .
Monday, January 24, 2011
What Do We Know About the Impact of Remittances on Financial Development?
Thursday, January 20, 2011
How to Tell Good MFIs from Bad MFIs
• If your interest margin is 10-15%, a big warning sign is flashing because you’re in the yellow zone.
• Anything above 15% is the red zone, where you’ve left true microcredit behind and joined the loan sharks.
by Richard Rosenberg
Thursday, January 13, 2011
Remittance: a step towards financial inclusion
Need for sustainability in the quest for financial inclusion
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
The nature of Financial Literacy
Friday, January 7, 2011
SHGs for the Poor; MFIs for the Non-Poor
SHGs (Self-help groups) need to return to their original fundamentals of being strong grassroots institutions and the market for credit needs to be segmented
The focus of concern in the recent past, and leading up to the Andhra Pradesh microfinance crisis, has been the risk to commercialized microfinance organizations or MFI-NBFCs. Very little has appeared in the media on the risk borne by the clients, until the reported suicides in October brought their risk squarely into the political domain. This post focuses on the risk borne by clients.
First I would like to distinguish between two groups of clients: The first group is the poor who need credit and other opportunities for livelihood activities to survive. The second group is not poor; their livelihood strategy largely includes non-farm activities but they cannot grow to meet their aspirations without access to credit even at market rates.
My position is that the poor need substantial investment, besides credit, for them to move beyond survival and increase their incomes.
This investment includes institutional support- like the self help groups (SHGs) at the base - which provides the poor with the space to set their agenda to support their livelihood strategy. The services required to support livelihood strategies of the poor and to build these participatory institutions like SHGs need subsidy.
In short, this requires a long term perspective.
I do not think the business model of the MFI-NBFCs, which is driven by venture/private capital, quick disbursements, weekly repayments, high profits and remunerations for senior staff, a focus on valuations and IPOs and a quick exit, is appropriate for this group. Short term credit at commercial rates cannot help improve lives of the poor.
In fact, this business model increases the poor’s risk, often beyond a level that they cannot bear. The SHG model with links to banks (as it was originally conceived) is the appropriate strategy for this group.
Weekly repayments increase the borrowers risk and vulnerability to local power groups. Incomes from agriculture are lumpy not weekly; incomes from animal or dairy farming are usually monthly.
In order to repay the MFI loans weekly, clients are forced into activities that can help them earn daily, like wage-labor, or push them into a cycle of multiple borrowing, where they have space to borrow from one and repay to another.
The second group, the non-poor, who cannot get credit from banks because they do not have land records or fixed assets to provide collateral, are better suited to be clients of MFIs.
This group does not have the confidence and skills required to negotiate with banks if they need credit for activities in the non-farm sector and do not have access to working capital from formal financial institutions.
The business model of MFIs can meet the needs of this group provided profit is not maximized to an extent where there is little difference between them and the moneylenders. Good governance of MFIs can play a greater role than regulation; but evidence indicates that good governance is in short supply.
The SHG model is not an effective model for fast disbursement of credit. Therefore, it is not appropriate for this second group which needs credit.
Risk and the official policy promoting inclusion
Inclusion of the poor (the first group) into the formal financial system of the country involves considerable risks and costs on their part.
The SHG model was an attempt to lower this risk and costs for the poor by providing an intermediary institution which the poor managed. The banks that lent to them were satisfied even though the profits were low because their loans were categorized under “priority sector” lending and repayments far exceeded those from rural development programs in the past.
Between 2003 and 2008 the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) carefully managed India’s integration into the global financial system. Unfortunately the RBI did not take the same careful approach with the MFI-NBFCs in their rapid growth on the grounds that it was urgent to integrate the poor into the international financial sector.
Its focus was pushing the official financial system further into the interior on one hand and, on the other, a “hands off” approach as far as the MFI-NBFCs were concerned, encouraging them at most to self-regulate.
The MFI-NBFCs have not included the marginalized into the country’s financial system but instead included them directly into the international financial system which is not only inappropriate as a first step but raises the level of risk that clients have to bear.
Moreover, the emphasis on credit disbursement to SHGs increased when they were adopted by the Andhra Pradesh Government as part of its official strategy to mitigate poverty. Fortunately, high profits and remunerations were not part of the Government’s strategy.
The SHG Bank Linkage Model had grown till 2000 with adequate investment in building the institutional capacity. When it became part of AP state government policy in 2000, pressure was exerted by dedicated Government officers at the district levels to grow fast and achieve targets.
As a result, the quality of SHGs declined and their earlier emphasis on mobilizing savings, managing repayments and building a supporting environment for a livelihood strategy, considerably weakened.
Instead, SHGs were formed to achieve targets, with the wives of the Panchayat president and secretary dominating proceedings. They borrowed from banks and lent outside the groups at higher rates, at the cost of neglecting their own members.
Official reports focused on disbursements; corrective measures were taken to balance the spread of credit in areas where growth was slow. However, no investment was made to add value or to support increases in productivity and diversification.
Investment in institutions, the very essence of SHGs, was no longer a priority. Instead, the Government was in a hurry to disburse and increase financial inclusion.
Risk and interest rates
MFIs argue that high interest rates are justified because the risk of lending to small borrowers is high, the cost of delivery at the doorstep is high and finally the rates are far less than those of the private moneylenders.
However, high interest rates when offered by MFIs increases risk for the poor.
The State of the Sector report 2010 (N. Srinivasan) indicates that out of 60 MFIs which reported on profitability, six had ROAs over 7%; thirty five had ROAs over 2%.
In contrast the public sector banks in 2009 had average ROAs of 0.6% with the best being 1.6%, while the best private bank had ROAs of 2%. The yield on portfolio confirms this picture; in the case of 23 MFIs it was above 30 %(the highest being 41.29%).
The report also says that economies of scale have not led to lower interest rates or lower yields. This implies that MFIs maximized their profits and competition did not decrease rates as it was expected to.
The largest MFI recorded a 116% jump in net profit at Rupees 81 crores ($18 million) in the second quarter ending September 2010 as against the corresponding period last year.
The level of profit required to meet all costs, cover risks and expand operations is lesser than the level of profit required to meet all these costs and, in addition, attract venture and private capital, and pay salaries higher than the remunerations of the CEOs of the largest private banks.
What should be the interest rate? The figure of 24% is floating around in official circles. The problem is that the effective interest rates of MFIs are far from clear. There appears to be a difference of 5% to 10% between the rates as provided by the MFIs and the rates that emerge from an analysis of the books of clients.
MFIs also argue that the cost of credit from banks is high and that they should be allowed to mobilize public deposits if interest rates are capped. Interviews with clients show clearly that they do not have an idea of what they actually pay over and above the capital. They are satisfied if credit keeps coming.
In fact interviews with those clients who had succumbed to the temptation of multiple borrowings showed clearly that they wanted to borrow from several MFIs to maintain a cash flow to cope with repayments as well as their expenditure. This increases their risk substantially. In contrast, interest rates of SHGs in Myrada stabilize after two years or so between 12% and 14%, which is about 3% to 4% above cost of credit from banks.
Non-profit MFIs who do not pay high salaries but still pay adequately enough to attract experience and capital from banks manage to make a surplus at interest rates between 17% to 19%, where the average cost of credit is around 9% -10% and annual growth rates are 40% to 50%.
For-profit MFIs should be able to manage their affairs and attract sufficient capital (not venture capital and high valuations) by charging effective rates ranging from 15% to 17% above the average cost of credit. This would enable them to charge interest rates in the range of 24% to 29% instead of their current rates which are 20% to 30% above the average cost of credit.
The poor in SHGs are able to manage interest rates of 12% -14%. They have also managed with interest rates higher than 14% in the initial period of group formation until they have built up their group’s common fund. In my experience, they can cope with interest rates of around 17%. The risk involved is manageable and the cushion provided by the SHG can help them tide over urgent needs.
The non poor in the second group can cope with higher interest rates levied by for profit MFIs but the rates should not exceed 30%.
Competition among MFIs has not reduced rates, neither has self regulation.
Interest rates, commissions, salaries, profits have to be regulated by the board of an MFI. A decision by the Board to opt for an IPO will force management to focus on quarterly figures because the logic of financial markets dictates that it should.
This will further integrate the marginalized into the free market system increasing the risk of the clients who are particularly vulnerable.
SHG is not a good model for speedy disbursement of credit; but it is a good model for lowering the risks of borrowers as well as lenders. SHGs have savings which they use to cushion irregular cash flows; they are able to adjust to urgent and unexpected situations. Myrada’s analysis of its SHGs shows that their common fund increases year on year.
The SHG model, with lower interest rates and risk, is most appropriate to financially include the poor, while the product offered by for profit MFIs is appropriate for the non-poor who are in need of credit.
–Aloysius P. Fernandez, Chairperson, National Bank of Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) Financial Services, India and Founder of Myrada; the views expressed here are personal.

